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Aravinth Srinivasan , Planning to start a startup in agriculture Dec, 07 2016

Amma was a populist leader thus won the hearts of the masses, but can AIADMK survive without Amma?


Will there be any changes in the existing AIADMK? Will it still follow its populist methods to rule Tamil Nadu? The debts of TN government have just increased over time due to their rule:




Jayant Singha , Save the planet Dec, 07 2016


AIADMK exists only because of Jayalalitha. There is no evidence of collective leadership or decision making in ADMK. MGR actually did a good thing by making Jaya his protege, without which the party would have died along with him. A split will surely occur, but I don't know if it will be a civilized divorce or a violent partition. DMK will pretty much become the dominant party at least for the next five years. Panneerselvam can't do shit because he, just like the others is just a minion, and is hated by a lot in the party now
AIADMK exists only because of Jayalalitha. There is no evidence of collective leadership or decision making in ADMK. MGR actually did a good thing by making Jaya his protege, without which the party would have died along with him. A split will surely occur, but I don't know if it will be a civilized


Aravinth Srinivasan , Planning to start a startup in agriculture Dec, 07 2016


If AIADMK fails then BJP will have an opening for 5-10 years.


Varun ravikant , Work in the field of Agriculture and want to Dec, 07 2016


The first thing that will happen is that DMK will buy out ADMK MLAs. Not most of them, but enough to get a majority in the Tamil Nadu assembly. This will go to court (probably the Supreme Court), and will be ruled unconstitutional. The clock will be turned back, and the assembly's composition will return to how it was before the MLAs defected.

Now, when the assembly re-convenes, the speaker will probably dismiss the MLAs who defected. This will lead to a situation where the DMK will ask for a confidence vote to be held. The government will lose the trust vote (provided it is held anonymously and fairly), and one of two things will happen: the DMK will take over the assembly with the support of the diminished strength; or, more likely, snap elections will take place. On the back of MK Stalin's popularity and AIADMK's complete breakdown in the lack of a compelling replacement, the DMK will win these elections in a landslide.

In the political vacuum that follows, AIADMK will either dissolve, or become insignificant. Both national parties will aggressively ally with smaller parties, but won't be able to gain dominance over the DMK unless one of them basically gives up on Tamil Nadu.

The first thing that will happen is that DMK will buy out ADMK MLAs. Not most of them, but enough to get a majority in the Tamil Nadu assembly. This will go to court (probably the Supreme Court), and will be ruled unconstitutional. The clock will be turned back, and the assembly's composition will r